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Statistics is essentially a study of variability, the use of some suitable mathematical model representative of such variability, and the application of this inferred pattern of behaviour to practical problems. Probability theory is the mathematical structure devised for providing models for chance happenings. Perhaps the simplest example of a chance happening is the result obtained in tossing a coin. Although the result of a single toss can never be predicted with certainty, there is no reason why in repeated tosses the expectancy of heads and tails should not be equal. In such a case the outcomes of the experiment are said to be equally likely, so that the probability of obtaining heads (or tails) is 1 in 2, that is, 0,5. This simple probability .model refers to a 'mathematical' or 'unbiased' coin. Whether such probabilities are meaningful for actual coins tossed in any particular way is a matter for experience to determine. Probability models have also provided the basis for representing observed variability in cases where the actual under- lying probabilities are only partly known or defy analysis. A typical example of the latter case is the variability observed in the values obtained from gold or other ore samples. The interacting natural forces which gave rise to this variability are obviously very complex and are unlikely ever to be unravelled completely. In spite of this, probability theory and the more recent geostatistical theories have provided us with models which can represent this variability on a reasonable basis. Applied statistics and geostatistics must therefore never be accepted as exact mathematical sciences. Furthermore, a basic and essential concept is that in the type of applications covered in these notes, no model must ever be accepted as necessarily the final and exact answer to the problem; thus, any model must prove and continue to prove its appropriateness in practice, preferably by follow-up comparisons.

Jan 1, 1981

Seventy-three of the 90 naturally occurring elements that are found in the earth's crust are metals or metalloids. The quantities of metals used annually in the United States range from about 100 million metric tons (steel) to a few kilograms (osmium). The recovery of metals from discarded products or industrial process wastes, especially those metals that are used in large quantity, are very expensive, or are unusually toxic, is important to the national economy and to the natural environment. From its inception in 1910, the U.S. Bureau of Mines (USBM) has been the Government's prime source of information on metals recycling, as well as a major innovator in recycling technology. Statistical data on scrap generation and processing have been summarized annually for many years in the USBM's Minerals Yearbook. Most of the data for individual metals discussed in this report were extracted from that publication.

Jan 1, 1993

By Hamid Maleki

Prudent design of coal pillars in any mining system requires an estimation of in-situ pillar strength, overburden lateral load transfer capability, and a failure criterion. Pillar strength is typically determined using one of several different empirical pillar strength formulas. For coal reserves in the U.S., a new pillar design method was proposed based on extensive U.S. field measurements in underground mines (7) which accounted for confinement effects. Field measurements in seven U.S. seams indicated highest strength for some Utah mines where the coal seam developed high confining stresses. Lower strength was measured in structurally controlled seams. This method is expanded here including the data from the weaker tertiary coal measure rocks and lower confinement for pillars with low width-to-height ratios. The determination of how much load a pillar is expected to take is partially dependent on the ability of overburden to transfer load laterally; this is useful for selection of panel width and barrier pillars size in select mining applications where long-term stability is required in conservative designs. In caving mining systems, caving of the strata is influenced by geologic, mining and stress conditions and the released energies influences how the pillars react at loads approaching pillar strengths. Overburden deformation and caving mechanisms are analyzed in this paper in multi-panel extractions to enhance the understanding of load transfer, seismicity and coal bump control in deep western U.S. operations.

Jan 1, 2008

The evident need to improve the reliability of fluid power systems in underground coal mining equipment prompted the U.S. Bureau of Mines, and later the Department of Energy, to contract with the Fluid Power Research Center at Oklahoma State University for a research project to develop methods for achieving this end. Since the work of the contract was completed at about the time DOE was relinquishing its underground coal mining projects to BOM it was decided to issue the final report under 80M cover. The contract revealed that the major causes of poor reliability were: (1) poor overall system design, (2) poor component contamination toleranace, (3) poor system filtration, and 4) poor maintenance practices stemming from a lack of defined maintenance procedures and enforcement of same. This report demonstrates the variability of the reliabilities of components of similar performance description when subjected to standard tests. Improved design procedures are recommended and the information needed to specify and select components whose reliability is predictable and optimum without sacrifice in performance or significant increase in envelope size.

Jan 1, 1983

By AIME AIME

THE American Engineering Council, which is the working body of The Federated American Engineering Societies, held its first meeting in Washington, Nov. 18 and 19, 1920. The Federated American Engineering Societies was formed in Washington in June and is composed of engineering and technical societies, national, state, local and regional. These Member Societies elect delegates to the American Engineering Council, which is the administrative body of the Federated. The meeting was called to order by Richard L. Humphrey, Chairman of the Joint Conference Com¬mittee, and the program (which is printed below) was carried out without substantial change by E. S. Carman, who was elected temporary chairman. Under the Constitution, the Council appoints an Executive Board, the members of which are chosen according to the proportional membership of the vari¬ous Member Societies in their respective districts. Under this plan, with the present membership, 'the national societies will have 14 members and the local societies 6 members on the Executive Board.

Jan 1, 1920

By H. C. Cooke

THE gold mining industry, in Canada as in other countries, has passed through trying times in the past year. The strains and stresses of war have drawn away much of its man-power, both from the labour and the management. The urgent needs of the war machine have greatly curtailed the amounts of steel and explosives that can be allotted to the mines; and the loss, by enemy action, of supplies of such essential things as rubber, bids fair to reduce operations still further, if not cripple them entirely in time. And, as if these difficulties were not enough, war on the psychological front has been declared on the gold mines. Earnest supporters of the war effort, well-meaning theorists, and perhaps others whose intent is less disinterested, have all combined to clamour against the continuance of gold mining. We have been asked, what is the use of taking gold out of one hole in Canada to put it into another in Kentucky. We have been assured that gold will never again have any value, except for filling teeth. We have been repeatedly adjured to look at Germany, how well it has got along without gold. We have been told that it is unthinkable, when this nation is girding her loins for war, that labour and materials should be diverted to this useless effort. Gold miners should be diverted to the base-metal mines, where they can produce something of real value to the war effort; or to war factories; or, in fact, almost anywhere, so long as they are got out of the gold mines. And, what has made the situation even more disturbing, it has seemed as if all this clamour might be convincing governments. In fact, as you all know, the government of the United States did actually take the step of ordering its gold mines to cease operations. Fortunately, however, for Canada, the facts that no large favourable effects resulted from that action, and that, in Canada, gold mining is a much larger part of the national economy than in the United States, have caused our government, so far at least, to avoid this drastic step. In talking about this, however, let me emphasize that I have no more inside information on the subject than any of you. Like Will Rogers, all I know is what I see in the papers.

Jan 1, 1943

By Sandra K. Zacharias

Brass, a deliberate alloy of copper and zinc, has been known since before Roman times. There are two main methods of making brass: (1) Cementation or calamine process - crushed zinc ore (calamine, ZnC03 , or calcined calamine, ZnO), is mixed with charcoal and small pieces of metallic copper and heated to about 900°C in a closed crucible, (2) Alloying - metallic copper and zinc are melted together in a reverberatory furnace. According to most modern authorities (e.g. Smith and Forbes 1955), the calamine process was the only one used in western Europe prior to the 18th century. At that time, the alloying technique began to take over, because metallic zinc was successfully produced on a large scale for the first time. Previously, this had been a problem because zinc vapourizes at 906°C or about the same temperature at which it can be reduced from its ore. Thus, some means had to be devised to collect and condense the zinc vapour (Tylecote 1976). Metallic zinc was known, however, earlier than the 18th century A.O. Several early finds have been made, including a rolled sheet of metallic zinc found in excavations at the Athens Agora dating to the 3rd to 2nd century B. C. (Farnsworth et al. 1949). The Chinese were producing zinc by at least the 10th century A. D. and, by the 17th century, Chinese zinc ingots were being imported into Europe by the Dutch East India Company (Needham 1974). Metallic zinc is also mentioned in several European documentary sources from the 16th century (e.g. Paracelsus, Agricola). This study traces the changes in Western brass making methods from Classical to Renaissance times by examining documentary and archaeological evidence.

Jan 1, 1999

U.S. producers for more than 5 months have priced 99.5 percent primary aluminum ingot at 486 per pound. Sales by independent dealers in this same period reportedly declined by 0.5$-2.5$ to 43.50- 44.56 per pound. CADMIUM: U.S. producer-published cadmium prices for the last 5 months have been at $3 per pound. Dealer quotes in the same period fell by almost 504 and ranged from $2.45 to $2.55 per pound.

Jan 1, 1977

Real economic growth for 1988 may fall short of the 3.3% projected by the Department of Commerce in August 1988 because the summer drought and intense heat in many areas curtailed output more severely than expected. The economy grew at an average annual rate of 3.0% for the first three quarters of the year, slowing in the second and third quarters. Export growth, which occurred even as the dollar edged up compared with other industrial country currencies, was an important factor in the expansion. Notable gains were posted in sales of machinery, computers, aircraft, chemicals, and telecommunications equipment. Imports increased, but not as much as exports, and the U.S. trade position was still much improved from that of 1987. Personal consumption expenditures grew slightly faster than the economy as a whole. Purchases of consumer durables showed notable strength in the first half of 1988, but slowed down in the third quarter. Despite the moderate rise in interest rates, business spending for new plant and equipment also rose and contributed to 1988 gross national product (GNP) growth. Both new business investment and export demand spurred orders for U.S.-made machine tools. Orders for machine tools for the first 8 months of 1988 were almost triple those in the corresponding period in 1987.

Jan 1, 1989

By A. Lucian Walker

SILVER is not only of paramount importance to millions of people as a medium of savings and to other millions as a medium of exchange, but it is also valuable and useful in industry. Mexico continues to be the largest producer of this metal, followed by the United States, Canada, and Peru. The largest consumers are China and India, which normally absorb about two-thirds of the world's mine production, hoarding it as savings. The imports by these countries exert a powerful influence upon the price, yet neither country is on the silver standard. China having abandoned it in 1935 and India in 1893, when the rupee was definitely linked to the pound sterling. Other nations such as Persia, Ethiopia, Mexico, and many of the South American countries either have been on the silver standard or have used silver as their chief circulating medium, and most large nations use it for subsidiary coins, this use accounting for 20 to 30 million ounces annually. The arts and industries have consumed 35 to 40 million ounces each year.

Jan 1, 1937

By S. Akhtar

Interstitial compounds of iron, cobalt, and nickel, and their binary and ternary mixtures with silver, gold, palladium, and platinum were prepared and tested as fuel cell catalysts. The first step in the preparation of the interstitial compounds consisted of preparing finely divided metals. This was done either by the Raney method or by reduction of precipitated hydroxides of the metals. The finely divided reduced metals were then treated with carbon-and/or nitrogen-containing gases to prepare their carbides, nitrides, and nitrocarbides. The materials were tested for cathodic activity towards O2 and for anodic activity towards H2, C3H8, NH3, CO, and N2H4 in acid and alkaline electrolytes at 25° to 90° C in half-cell assemblies. Samples of carbided and nitrocarbided INi-lAg-1Au were about one fifth as active as Pt-black in the reduction of O2 in 35 percent KOH solution, whereas the activities of several interstitial preparations exceeded the activity of Pt-black in the reduction of O2 in 12M KOH containing N2H4. Nitrocarbides of x-Fe2C, 3Ni-1Au, and 1Ni-3Au were effective catalysts for oxidizing N2H4 in liquid NH3 containing NH4SCN. Corrosion of the catalysts by electrolytes was severe in many cases.

Jan 1, 1970

Year Institute of Metals ? Petroleum - Iron and Steel ? Coal ? Mineral Industry Education - Industrial Minerals 1918 W M CORSE 1919 1920 W H BASSETT 1921 1922 W B PRICE 1923 E DEGOLYER 1924 G K ELLIOTT 1925 F JULIUS FOHS 1926 PAUL D MERICA 1927 JOHN M LOVEJOY 1928 S SKOWRONSKI A W AMBROSE RALPH H SWEETSER 1929 J B UMPLEBY G B WATERHOLSE 1930 ZAY JEFFRIES C V MILLIKAN W J MACKENZIEHOWARD N EAVENSON 1931 SAM TOUR C E BEECHER F M BECKET 1932 C H MATHEWSON EARL OLIVER F N SPELLERTHOMAS G FEAR C H FULTON

Jan 1, 1952

[RALPH ADAIR Ore Dressing Consultant Bull Mtn. Rd., Asheville, N. C. Phone 4-1693 JAMES A. BARR Consulting Engineer Mt. Pleasant, Tennessee Washington, D.C. BEHRE DOLBEAR & COMPANY Consulting Mining Engineers and Geologists 11 Broadway New York 4, N. Y. I. R. BERENT Engineering Consultants and Contractors Mineral Exploration, Mine Evaluation, Mine Designs and Mine Management 156, Ataturk Bulvarl-Ankara, Turkey BLANDFORD C. BURGESS Registered Professional Engineer Mining Consultant Monticello, Georgia GLENVILLE A. COLLINS Mining Engineer Uranium examinations Cable "Coins" 8 Howard-Canfleld Bldg. Santa Barbara, Calif. COWIN & CO. Mining Engineers and Contractors Consulting Shaft & Slope Sinking Appraisal Mine Development Reports Mine Plant Construction I- 18th St. S. W. B'ham, Ala., Phone 56-5566]

Jan 1, 1952

More than 400 academic, government, and industry representatives attended the second symposium on ash utilization and technology held in Pittsburgh, Pa., March 10-11, 1970. Sponsored by the National Coal Association, Edison electric Institute, American Public Power Association, National Ash Association, and the Bureau of Mines, the symposium featured 23 formal presentations by leading experts from Europe and the United States on all major phases of ash production, utilization, and research. Abstracts of all the papers are grouped right after this introduction, and the full symposium proceedings follow. Biographical sketches of the representatives are given in an appendix. Sponsoring organizations and their chief representatives were the National Coal Association, James R. Garvey, Bituminous Coal Research, Inc.; Edison Electric Institute, C. E. Brackett, Southern Electric Generating Co.; American Public Power Association, Howard J. Stemm, Columbus (Ohio) Electricity Division; National Ash Association, Inc., John A. Tillinghast, American Electric Power Service Corp.; and the United States Department of the Interior, Bureau of Mines, William L. Crentz.

Jan 1, 1970

Entering June, U. S. producer pricing of 99.5 percent unalloyed aluminum ingot was divided at 53-57 cents per pound. The Kaiser Aluminum and Chemical Corp. took the initiative and raised its June 1 ingot values by 4 cents to 57 cents. Consolidated Aluminum Corp. announced plans to increase ingot prices by 4.5 cents per pound to 57.5 cents per pound effective May 15. Dealers increased their May ingot quotes by 1.5-2 cents to 50-50.5 cents. CADMIUM While producers in the United States kept May cadmium at $2.25-$2.50, dealers increased their quotes by 15-30 cents to as high as $2.15.

Jan 1, 1978

[RALPH ADAIR Ore Dressing Consultant Bull Mtn. d., Asheville, N. C. Phone 4-1693 JAMES A. BARR Consulting Engineer Mt. Pleasant, Tennessee Washington, D.C. BEHRE DOLBEAR & COMPANY Consulting Mining Engineers and Geologists 11 Broadway New York 4, N. Y. I. R. BERENT Engineering Consultants and Contractors Mineral Exploration, Mine Evaluation, Mine Designs and Mine Management 156, Ataturk Bulvarl-Ankara, Turkey BLANDFORD C. BURGESS Registered Professional Engineer Mining Consultant Monticello, Georgia GLENVILLE A. COLLINS Mining Engineer Uranium examinations Cable "Coins" 8 Howard-Canfield Bldg. Santa Barbers, Calif. COWIN & CO. Mining Engineers and Contractors Consulting Shaft & Slope Sinking Appraisal Mine Development Reports Mine Plant Construction I. 18th St. S. W. Wham, Ale., Phone 56-5566]

Jan 1, 1952

[RALPH ADAIR Ore Dressing Consultant Bull Mtn. Rd., Asheville, N. C. Phone 4-1693 JAMES A. BARR Consulting Engineer Mt. Pleasant, Tennessee Washington, D.C. BEHRE DOLBEAR & COMPANY Consulting Mining Engineers and Geologists 11 Broadway New York 4, N. Y. I. B. BERENT Engineering Consultants and Contractors Mineral Exploration, Mine Evaluation, Mine Designs and Mine Management 156, Ataturk Bulvarl-Ankara, Turkey BLANDFORD C. BURGESS Registered Professional Engineer Mining Consultant Monticello, Georgia GLENVILLE A. COLLINS Mining Engineer Uranium examinations Cable "Coins" B Howard-Canfield Bldg. Santa Barbara, Calif. COWIN & Co. Mining Engineers and Contractors Consulting Shaft & Slope Sinking Appraisal Mine Development Reports Mine Plant Construction I- 18th St. S. W. B'ham, Ala., Phone 56-5566]

Jan 1, 1952

COUNCIL The following served on Council during the year under review Office Bearers Dr J. P. Hugo (President), P. W. J. van Rensburg and Professor R. P. Plewman (Vice-Presidents), Professor D. D. Howat (Immediate Past-President), and D. G. Maxwell (Honorary Treasurer). Ordinary Members of Council H. P. Carlisle (until February), R. C. Espley-Jones, G. H. Grange, Dr D. I. Legge, W. W. Malan, J. B. Mudd, Dr R. E. Robinson, Dr M. D. G. Salamon, L. W. P. van den Bosch, D. A. Viljoen (co-opted May 1973), and P. A. von Wielligh. Branch Chairmen A. Bain (Witbank-Middelburg Branch), C. J. Isaac (O.F.S. Branch). Past Presidents Serving on Council R. J. Adamson, M. Barcza, H. Britten, J. K. E. Douglas, R. C. J. Goode, P. Lambooy, Professor J. de V. Lambrechts, Dr J. T. McIntyre, J. F. Reid, and V. C. Robinson. Ten Council meetings were held during the year, with an average attendance of 18, and the standing committees held 29 meetings. MEMBERSHIP Twelve Fellows, ten Members, twenty-one Graduates, eleven Associates, thirty-one Students, and forty-two Company Affiliates were elected during the year. One Member was reinstated. Eight Fellows, two Members, and two Associates were admitted to retired membership. Four Graduates were transferred to Members, one Associate to Member, three Students to Members, one Graduate to Associate, two Students to Graduates, and one Student to Associate. Your Council records with deep regret the death during the year of the following : D. R. Campbell, J. Daniel, M. J. Dennehy, and F. S. C. Rogers (Life Fellows) ; W. T. balling and T. Pryor (Life Members); C. Boocock, W. Drake R. J. Moore, M. P. Pearse, J. M Pike, W. A. Schwezoff, A. I. Suss man, and L. G. S. Wright (Fellows) ; A. F. Chalmers (Member) ; and W. R. Gerry and G. T. Rimmer(Associates). A comparative statement of membership as at 30th June, 1973, and the end of the previous year it shown in the following tabulation: 30th - 30th June, - June, 1972 - 1973 Honorary Life Fellows 5 - 4 Honorary Fellows 13 - 9 Life Fellows 181 - 177 Fellows 541 - 536 Members 479 - 487 Graduates 115 - 128 Associates 182 - 186 Students 162 - 183 Company Affiliates 24 - 64 1 702 - 1 774 JOURNAL The papers that were published in the Journal during the year are listed below: August, 1972 The effects of chromium oxide, iron oxide, and calcium oxide on the liquidus temperatures, viscosities, and electrical conductivities of slags in the system MgO-Al2O3-SiO2, by M. S. Rennie, D. D. Howat, and P. R. Jochens A study of the dust exposure of South African white gold miners, by R. J. Page-Shipp and Elizabeth Harris A forecast of the coal and uranium requirements for electric power generation in South Africa, by E. J. Maunders September, 1972 Mine management by objectives, by A. A. Hazell Some aspects of the deformation behaviour and temperature rise during instantaneous compression loading of high purity aluminium, by H. J. E. Hamel Computer control of flotation at the Ecstall concentrator, by M. P. Amsden, C. Chapman, and M. G. Reading Optimizing the public gains from the exploitation of mineral resources, by A. Azis and J. Zwartendyk October, 1972 Presidential Address: Nuclear energy: its interactions with mining and metallurgy, by J. P. Hugo Presidentsrede: Kernenergie: sy wissel-werkinge met mynbou en metallurgic, deur J. P. Hugo Raise-boring experiences in the gold mines of the Anglo American Corporation Group, by J. W. Wilson and P. C. Graham November, 1972 Materials for winding plant components, by G. T. van Rooyen An analytical solution to the batch-comminution equation, by R. P. King A new approach to the study of human factors in stope productivity, by A. C. Lawrence Fundamental studies of the flotation process: the work of the National Institute for Metallurgy, by N. P. Finkelstein and V. M. Lovell Growing use of deionised water in surface coating techniques, by W. F. Lorch December, 1972 The development and application of a computer system to aid in the planning of production in mines, by F. H. Deist, L. F. Duvel, J. D. Austin, and H. D. Small PERT, and how PERT techniques can be used in modern mine management, by E. J. Boome and A. C. Schmidt A critical comparison of specific cooling power and the wet kata thermometer in hot mining environments, by J. de V. Lambrechts January, 1973 Liquidus temperatures in the Cr-Fe-Si system in the composition range representative of ferrochromium-silicide produced in South Africa, by J. C. M. Wethmar, D. D. Howat, P. R. Jochens, and O. A. W. Strydom Platinoids in the Witwatersrand System, by C. A. Cousins The development of a continuous recording scintillation counter mounted on a cyclometer, by P. D. Teens and D. Visser February, 1973 Computer analysis, modelling, and optimisation of gold recovery plants of the Anglo American Group, by M. I. Brittan and E. J. J. van Vuuren The significance of the mineralogical and surface characteristics of gold grains in the recovery process, by C. E. Feather and G. M. Keen Statistical valuation of diamondiferous deposits, by H. S. Sichel March, 1973 The effect of the reactivity of lime on desulphurisation efficiency in the basic oxygen furnace, by A. A. Hejja, D. D. Howat, and P. R. Jochens A review of real-time particle size analysers, by A. L. Hinde In situ measurements of the surface heat transfer coefficient in underground airways, by K. R. Vest April, 1973 An investigation into the kinetics and mechanisms of the oxidation of iron (II) by oxygen in aqueous chloride solutions, by R. P. Colborn and M. J. Nicol Electric smelting at Rustenburg Platinum Mines Limited of nickel-copper concentrates containing platinum-group metals, by J. C. Mostert and P. N. Roberts Metallurgical considerations in the

Jan 10, 1973

Feb. 18 to. 21, 1918 Committee on Arrangements J. E. JOHNSON, JR., Chairman BRADLEY STOUGHTON, Vice-Chairman A. R. LEDOUX RALPH W. DEACON F. T. RUBIDGE L. W. FRANCIS E. M. SHIPP MRS. S J. JENNINGS J. V. N. DORR A. L. WALKER G. D. VAN ARSDALE R. M. RAYMOND Finance Committee ALBERT R. LEDOUX, Chairman WALTER H. ALDRIDGE J. H. JANEWAY GEORGE D. BARRON CHARLES F. RAND WALTER DOUGLAS BENJAMIN B. THAYER

Jan 4, 1918

The extremely cold weather and heavy snowstorms of January and February in northeastern Pennsylvania--with frozen mining equipment, diminished preparation and lack of railroad cars--severely hampered the production and distribution of anthracite. As a result, the previous estimates for the 2 months have been revised. On March 1, 1977, at the Porter Tunnel of the Kocher Coal Company at Tower City, Pa., an underground flash flood, which apparently broke through the wall of an adjoining abandoned shaft, swept through the mine. As of March 9, 1977, four miners were reported killed, three injured, and five trapped in the wreckage. The Kocher Coal Company began operations at the Porter Tunnel in 1968 and has had no fatalities until this current tragedy. The mine employs 20 persons on the surface and 115 miners underground, producing 750 tons of coal per day. Of the 109 underground mining operations in the anthracite region, this is the one remaining large mine that employs over 100 men.

Jan 1, 1977